Think about the following questions.
1. If you could find out the exact date that you will die, would you want to know?
2. Have you or has someone you know made an accurate and remarkable prediction? What was it?
3. If you were granted the power to see into the future, but only once, how would you use it?
VOCABULARY PREVIEW
Match each New Academic Word List(NAWL) word with the correct definition.
- arbitrary
- prediction _____
- circa _____
- consultation _____
- clue _____
- rational _____
- a. based on or in accordance with logic
- b. approximately; near or around a specific date
- c. a formal discussion or meeting
- d. a piece of evidence useful for answering a question or solving a problem
- e. based on random choice or personal whim
- f. a forecast or other guess about the future
AN INSIGHT INTO THE FUTURE
Divination, also called fortune-telling, is the attempt to discover future events through mystical1 methods. One common method of divination, found in both Eastern and Western cultures, is palm reading. Through palm reading, a person hopes to find out his or her fate, or future circumstances. Through seemingly arbitrary interpretations of the lines on the palm of the hand, a palm reader claims to be able to foretell2 a person's life span, financial success, and romantic relationships, among other things. Although there is no proven connection between the lines on the palm of a hand and a person's future, palm reading remains popular, along with other divination practices. Some of these other practices include predicting the future through astrology (analyzing the effect of stars and planets on our lives), tasseography (reading used tea leaves), and numerology (analyzing the secret meanings of numbers).
Fortune-telling has a long history. Its earliest historical examples date from circa 4,000 BCE. Kings and other rulers relied on divination at that time and for thousands of years after. Chinese emperors, for instance, routinely relied on consultations with astrologers3 and other fortunetellers for important matters. Chinese court astrologers constantly looked for signs that foretold the future, seeking influence and security at court. Divination was used to diagnose illnesses, predict what would happen in battle, interpret dreams, and promote soldiers. In the second century BCE, Qin emperor Shi Huangdi ordered a huge, empire-wide book burning. The point was to end challenges to his policies based on the thinkers of the past. But books on medicine and divination were preserved.
Divination probably remained important well into modern times because of our relative lack of control over the world. Even those in the highest positions were still subject to natural disasters, for example. The scientific causes of events like plagues4 or storms were not clearly understood. Divination provided a sense of control over life. If a person had some clues about the future, that person might feel empowered to at least make some preparations. A farmer could plan for future harvests, and a ruler could plan for a war, for example.
Since it could not be disproved, and any failure in the prediction could be blamed on the person making the prediction, it was easy for people of earlier cultures to believe in divination. This, however, raises the question of why divination practices should still be so popular in the age of modern science. We have achieved a considerable understanding of, if not mastery5 over, the environment. We are no longer totally at the mercy of the natural world. There does not seem to be any obvious, rational need for mysticism to give the world a sense of order. Even so, human life is still fragile6. People still get sick, hurt themselves, and die. They still suffer from financial and emotional problems and worry about what the future will bring. One thing that has not changed since ancient times is that the future remains uncertain, and we have not outgrown our curiosity about it.
Today, new technology and advances in science have allowed us to predict a wide range of phenomena-from life expectancy for individuals to earthquakes and the movement of celestial7 bodies. Nonetheless, the simple fact that we do not know precisely what will happen in the next week, month, or year adds uncertainty to our lives. Many people will do whatever is within their means to gain more certainty and security in their lives, and will often settle for the illusion thereof8. In this sense, economists, financial analysts, business consultants, and even sports journalists are all in the business of selling insight into the future-some with accuracy comparable to that of fortunetellers. Divination, in all its forms, fulfills the same basic human need: the need to feel secure.
New Academic Word List
- mystical 1 : adj. having a spiritual meaning that is difficult to see or understand; mysterious
- foretell 2 : v. to predict
- astrologer 3 : n. a person who practices divination by studying planets and stars
- plague 4 : n. a disease that causes death and spreads quickly to a large number of people
- mastery 5 : n. complete control
- fragile 6 : adj. easily harmed; not very strong
- celestial 7 : adj. of or relating to the sky or space
- thereof 8 : adv. of the thing that has been mentioned
READING COMPREHENSION
A ‣ Mark each statement as true (T) or false (F) according to the reading.
- There is a confirmed connection between the lines on the palm of a hand and a person's future.
- True
- False
- Fortune-telling was used by kings and emperors thousands of years ago.
- True
- False
- In ancient times, divination was used to understand what dreams meant.
- True
- False
- In modern times, fear of uncertainty keeps interest in divination alive.
- True
- False
- The predictions of economists today are similar to fortune-telling in some ways.
- True
- False
B ‣ Choose the best answer according to the reading.
- What is the reading mainly about?
- a. The errors in reasoning that make people believe in divination
- b. Why humans have made use of divination in the past and present
- c. The advances divination has undergone from ancient times to today
- d. How scientific progress ended human interest in divination techniques
- Which of the following is mentioned as a method of divination?
- a. Animal sightings
- b. Aura reading
- c. Tarot cards
- d. Numerology
- Which is mentioned as a use for divination in ancient China?
- a. Promoting emperors and kings
- b. Casting spells on enemies
- c. Preventing natural disasters
- d. Predicting the outcome of battles
- The word means in paragraph 5 is closest in meaning to _____.
- a. beliefs
- b. cultures
- c. plans
- d. resources
C ‣ Find the answers in the reading and write them on the lines.
- What did Emperor Shi Huangdi do in the second century BCE?
_____ - What are some examples of modern "fortunetellers"?
_____
SUMMARY
Fill in the blanks with the phrases in the box.
- insight into
- make predictions
- divination methods
- military decisions
- feel safe
- individual lives
Since ancient times, fortune-tellers have made predictions using a variety of 1 _____ Palm reading, astrology, tasseography, and numerology were used to 2 _____ about such things as people's love lives, finances, and health. Ancient rulers took a particular interest in divination, using it to make political and 3 _____. In modern times, science and technology have reached a point where we no longer need fortune-tellers to give us 4 _____ phenomena such as diseases and natural disasters. Nevertheless, science is often unable to explain events in our 5 _____. For many people, divination still provides the answers they need to 6 _____ and secure.
VOCABULARY PRACTICE
Fill in the blanks with the words in the box. Change the form if necessary.
- arbitrary
- circa
- clue
- consultation
- prediction
- rational
- Very few economists made accurate _____ about the 2008 housing crisis.
- Electric light became common in households _____ 1900.
- The Magna Carta was a legal document that restricted the English king's right to rule according to his own _____ decisions.
- Sherlock Holmes often used a very specific _____ to draw broad conclusions.
- Psychic _____ with Madame Futura are modestly priced at $100 an hour.
- One problem with stock market analysis is that people do not always make _____ decisions.
SUPPLEMENTAL READING
Technology: The Modern Divination?
Generations past have used divination as a means of predicting the future. Modern technology has now advanced enough to analyze historical patterns systematically. Often, scientists can use such data to predict certain outcomes with highly accurate results.
Healthcare is one area in which science has taken over for mysticism. Many different types of divination were used in the past to predict future health. Today, physicians and other healthcare professionals use an evidence-based approach. Relying on scientific research, physicians can use factors such as age and sex, family history, and lifestyle to predict the probability of future health issues. And recent advances in genetic science have gone a step further. Through “carrier screening", couples can determine whether they carry genes that may cause certain diseases in their future children. People can also have tests done on their own-or their children's-DNA for information about risks for later health problems, including heart disease and cancer.
Weather forecasting is another example. In recent times, we have relied on meteorologists to analyze historical data and weather maps to make predictions, with mixed results. Now software companies like Israel's Meteo-Logic are updating the process. Meteo-Logic uses computer programs to analyze much larger sets of data and upload information from local points, much like GPS maps update information about road conditions. According to the company, this allows faster, more accurate, and more detailed forecasts.
Fill in the blanks with information from the reading.
- Doctors use a(n) _____ approach to predict future heath issues.
- Couples can use _____ to find out whether their future children would be at risk for some diseases.
- Meteo-Logic uses software to analyze large sets of weather data to make faster and better _____ .
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